Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 4.699278 5.617210 6.637888 7.852794 9.255088 10.818336 12.688192
2025-03-02 3.199926 4.323399 5.704071 7.508752 9.786570 12.545738 16.118060
2025-03-09 2.416886 3.624054 5.237063 7.512409 10.595247 14.577413 20.051696
2025-03-16 1.902556 3.128731 4.891269 7.544599 11.358754 16.551737 24.043395
2025-03-23 1.523882 2.727987 4.577298 7.526937 11.991768 18.351444 27.908534
2025-03-30 1.178896 2.295212 4.124151 7.207434 12.107229 19.385202 30.739285
2025-04-06 0.974238 2.046365 3.907238 7.200653 12.659159 21.062123 34.591646
2025-04-13 0.805420 1.821727 3.686507 7.142545 13.100311 22.579912 38.290229
2025-04-20 0.729751 1.756965 3.731219 7.531645 14.295934 25.348804 44.093603
2025-04-27 0.647846 1.660955 3.700126 7.774776 15.256274 27.798483 49.543569
2025-05-04 0.590688 1.605028 3.734812 8.136622 16.447065 30.699644 55.895555
2025-05-11 0.506679 1.469163 3.586789 8.128002 16.963998 32.492713 60.520163
2025-05-18 0.411366 1.285559 3.314145 7.848730 16.972595 33.444868 63.858154
2025-05-25 0.328152 1.109690 3.026507 7.497427 16.803911 34.066119 66.667015
2025-06-01 0.281183 1.018345 2.914273 7.498652 17.316621 35.940829 71.776298
2025-06-08 0.243037 0.941437 2.822320 7.529994 17.887782 37.955546 77.248767
2025-06-15 0.208313 0.864453 2.715773 7.512101 18.350792 39.791052 82.494409
2025-06-22 0.167005 0.751933 2.494657 7.193061 18.139723 40.309602 85.323891
2025-06-29 0.143713 0.693546 2.408258 7.186265 18.600941 42.166448 90.765810
2025-07-06 0.122281 0.634225 2.307359 7.128248 18.939314 43.794842 95.854341
2025-07-13 0.116018 0.632659 2.376417 7.516675 20.326552 47.633383 105.422732
2025-07-20 0.106380 0.613923 2.389891 7.759388 21.394518 50.874619 113.974771
2025-07-27 0.100289 0.608658 2.444873 8.120618 22.770418 54.833511 124.135248